My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Michael Gallup's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 33.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Gallup has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (61.0 per game).
  • Michael Gallup's 32.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 40.8.
  • The 49ers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™