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Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.Michael Gallup has been on the field for 76.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Michael Gallup has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 54.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 2nd percentile among wideoutsMichael Gallup has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 6.36 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile among WRsMichael Gallup has been among the bottom wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 24th percentile.
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