Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
Michael Gallup's 58.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 54.2% figure.
Michael Gallup's pass-game efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 7.70 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.49 figure last year.

Favors Under

Michael Gallup's 61.2% Route% this year reflects an impressive decline in his passing game volume over last year's 86.0% mark.
Michael Gallup has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a puny 3.3 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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