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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-400).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Michael Gallup has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.0% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Michael Gallup's 47.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 75th percentile for WRs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.23 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Michael Gallup has notched far fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).

Michael Gallup's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 60.3% to 56.0%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.5%) versus WRs this year (63.5%).

More Michael Gallup Player Props

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