Michael Gallup Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-311).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +231 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Michael Gallup has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.8% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
Michael Gallup's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts.
Michael Gallup grades out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
Michael Gallup has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, catching a measly 58.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among WRs
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).

More Michael Gallup Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow