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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-311).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +231 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Michael Gallup has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.8% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
  • Michael Gallup's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts.
  • Michael Gallup grades out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • Michael Gallup has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
  • Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, catching a measly 58.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among WRs
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).

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