Michael Carter Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (42.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Titans.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are massive -12.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
The model projects Michael Carter to be much less involved in his team's run game in this game (11.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (31.4% in games he has played).
With an atrocious record of 2.33 yards after contact (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Carter ranks among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in the NFL.

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