Michael Carter Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+109/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Denver Broncos defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.81 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (22.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.4% in games he has played).
Michael Carter has run for a lot fewer yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).
Michael Carter's rushing efficiency (3.79 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (23rd percentile among running backs).

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