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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+109/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.81 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (22.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.4% in games he has played).
  • Michael Carter has run for a lot fewer yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).
  • Michael Carter's rushing efficiency (3.79 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (23rd percentile among running backs).

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