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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

Michael Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.

This year, the feeble Eagles pass defense has conceded a massive 94.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.

Michael Carter's 30.1% Route% this year marks a a remarkable decline in his passing game usage over last year's 42.0% mark.

Michael Carter's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 87.1% to 82.9%.

The Eagles linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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