Michael Carter Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-161/+127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -161.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to garner 3.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Michael Carter has been among the top RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Cleveland Browns pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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