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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

Michael Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+170/-238).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -211 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -238.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to accumulate 3.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have incorporated play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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