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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to garner 3.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Michael Carter has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • Michael Carter has accumulated a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among RBs.
  • The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Michael Carter's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, accumulating just 5.25 yards-per-target vs a 6.25 rate last year.

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