Michael Carter Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to notch 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Michael Carter has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 10.2% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Michael Carter has accumulated a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Michael Carter's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a mere 5.15 yards-per-target compared to a 6.26 mark last year.
Michael Carter's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, compiling just 7.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.78 mark last season.

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