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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to earn 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • Michael Carter has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.1% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Michael Carter has notched a meager 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 21st percentile among running backs.
  • The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Michael Carter's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 4.93 yards-per-target vs a 6.26 figure last year.
  • Michael Carter's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, notching a mere 7.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.78 mark last season.

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