Michael Carter Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-127/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (22.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.4% in games he has played).

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