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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Melvin Gordon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (85.2%) vs. RBs this year (85.2%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Melvin Gordon has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (32.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (43.4%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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