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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

Melvin Gordon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Melvin Gordon has been given 45.8% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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