Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Mecole Hardman

NFL · Player Props

Mecole Hardman

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.3 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
With a stellar 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Mecole Hardman stands among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.
With a fantastic 10.4 adjusted yards per target (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Mecole Hardman stands among the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Mecole Hardman's 18.2% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a noteable decline in his pass game volume over last year's 54.1% mark.
Mecole Hardman has put up far fewer air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (34.0 per game).
Mecole Hardman's 1.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a significant regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 44.0 mark.
This year, the tough Eagles pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 2.9 YAC.

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