Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Mecole Hardman

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Mecole Hardman has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 76.1% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Mecole Hardman's receiving efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 10.51 yards-per-target compared to a measly 8.96 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.