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Mecole Hardman

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Mecole Hardman has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 76.1% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • Mecole Hardman's receiving efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 10.51 yards-per-target compared to a measly 8.96 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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