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Mecole Hardman

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Mecole Hardman has been among the top WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 8.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 99th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Mecole Hardman's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.8% to 59.5%.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.41 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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