Matthew Stafford Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1950/-25000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 62.6% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Rams offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.7.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-most TDs in football (1.17 per game) vs. the Raiders defense this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

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