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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

Matthew Stafford's 66.5% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a significant improvement in his throwing precision over last season's 62.4% figure.

This year, the deficient Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams have been the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 44.7% red zone pass rate.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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