Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Matthew Stafford has been a more important option in his team's running game this season (9.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.9%).

Favors Under

The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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