Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Washington's DE corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
In this game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 4th-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.2.
Matthew Stafford is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a mere 5.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 19th percentile when it comes to QBs.
Matthew Stafford has generated a mere 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (16th percentile).
With a very bad record of 0.39 yards-after-contact (25th percentile), Matthew Stafford stands as one of the worst running QBs in the league this year.

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