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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Matthew Stafford is projected by the predictive model to notch the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.5.

Matthew Stafford has picked up a mere 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (22nd percentile).

This year, the formidable Baltimore Ravens run defense has conceded a measly 99.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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