Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Matthew Stafford is projected by the predictive model to notch the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.5.
Matthew Stafford has picked up a mere 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (22nd percentile).
This year, the formidable Baltimore Ravens run defense has conceded a measly 99.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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