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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 230.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Rams to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.

Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 37.7 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.

Last year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has yielded a mere 63.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the best rate in the league.

The Texans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency last year, yielding 7.10 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been excellent last year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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