Matthew Stafford Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Interceptions

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
New York's defense ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to inducing interceptions, totaling a measly 0.54 per game.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Matthew Stafford to attempt 33.7 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

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