Matthew Stafford Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Interceptions

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 10, 2026 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 35.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most among all QBs.
The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (34.1 per game) last year.
The 49ers have intercepted 0.36 targets per game last year, ranking as the 2nd-worst defense in football by this stat
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, San Francisco's group of CBs has been atrocious last year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Los Angeles's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and running stats decreased) in light of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.

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