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Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+106/-138).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.7 passes per game this year, grading out in the 79th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.35 passes per game this year, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in the league by this stat
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.The Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
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