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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 36.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.4 per game) since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.98 seconds per play.
  • The 49ers have intercepted 1.21 targets per game since the start of last season, grading out as the best defense in the league by this statistic.
  • The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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