Matthew Stafford Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Interceptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 36.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford has thrown 0.95 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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