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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Matthew Stafford has totaled 1.04 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among QBs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have intercepted 0.61 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out as the worst defense in football by this statistic
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 57.2 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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