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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-144/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 5.5-point favorite this week.

With a 40.9% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-heavy team in the league has been the Rams.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's group of DTs has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.

In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the model to total the 7th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.0.

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