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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Matt Ryan TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Matt Ryan has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with an impressive 67.9% Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.10 per game this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to attempt 36.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.3%).

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