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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Matt Ryan TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+154/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.6%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 9th-least TDs through the air in the league: 1.11 per game this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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