My Account Log Out

reorder

Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (9.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to garner 2.3 carries in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

Matt Ryan has averaged a mere 1.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (8th percentile).

More Matt Ryan Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™