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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 235.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 8th-most yards in the league (251.0 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has allowed their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have incorporated play action on 33.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to attempt 32.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.

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