Matt Ryan Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 236.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Matt Ryan has passed for many more yards per game (275.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
Matt Ryan has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with an impressive 67.9% Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most yards in football (255.0 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to attempt 36.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.3%).

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