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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Broncos as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (33.9 per game) this year.

While Marvin Mims has garnered 9.5% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Denver's passing attack in this game at 17.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

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