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Marvin Mims Jr.
NFL · Player Props
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR · Denver Broncos
Receiving Yards
Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -148.

Favors Over
  • With a terrific 11.6 adjusted yards per target (94th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims stands as one of the top WRs in the game in football.
  • With an exceptional 7.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (89th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims has been as one of the top WRs in the NFL in football in picking up extra yardage.
  • This year, the porous Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed a staggering 174.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-worst in football.
  • This year, the deficient Vikings pass defense has given up a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.
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