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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Marvin Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.8%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (68.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Lions have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Marvin Jones has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing just 57.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among wide receivers

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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