Marvin Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Marvin Jones

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Jones

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Marvin Jones has posted a monstrous 69.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wide receivers.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Marvin Jones has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in a mere 56.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 6th percentile among wideouts

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