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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.

Marvin Jones has compiled a whopping 80.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among WRs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marvin Jones's 46.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 53.5.

Marvin Jones has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).

Marvin Jones's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.4% to 53.8%.

Marvin Jones's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating just 6.62 yards-per-target compared to a 7.62 rate last season.

Marvin Jones has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.

More Marvin Jones Player Props

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