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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line has given their QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • Marvin Jones has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Marvin Jones's 41.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 53.5.
  • Marvin Jones has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
  • Marvin Jones's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.5% to 57.2%.

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