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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

Marvin Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-568).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -549 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -568.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Marvin Jones to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (20.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.7% in games he has played).

Marvin Jones has put up far more air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (84.0 per game).

Marvin Jones's 48.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 77th percentile for wideouts.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

Marvin Jones's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.4% to 58.9%.

The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (60.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.6%).

The New York Giants defense has allowed the 6th-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

More Marvin Jones Player Props

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