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Marquise Goodwin
NFL · Player Props
Marquise Goodwin
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receptions
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Marquise Goodwin Receptions

Marquise Goodwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

Favors Over
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Marquise Goodwin has been used less as a potential target this season (56.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (46.2%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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