Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Marquise Goodwin

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+404/-868).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -823 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -868.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Marquise Goodwin's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 52.3% to 79.6%.
Marquise Goodwin ranks in the 84th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (71.3%) vs. WRs this year (71.3%).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Marquise Goodwin has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.