Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Marquise Goodwin

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-976).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Marquise Goodwin's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 52.3% to 77.3%.
Marquise Goodwin grades out in the 89th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.43 per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (74.8%) versus WRs this year (74.8%).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Marquise Goodwin has notched far fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.