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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This week, Marquise Brown is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.8 targets.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Marquise Brown has been more prominently incorporated in his team's passing offense.

Marquise Brown is positioned as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a fantastic 4.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Marquise Brown's 57.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 62.8% mark.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been very good this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

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