Marquise Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Marquise Brown to accumulate 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
Marquise Brown has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.
Marquise Brown's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 65.8% to 71.1%.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
Marquise Brown has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 94.5% of snaps compared to just 94.5% last year.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.