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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Marquise Brown has run a route on 92.4% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have played in the 5th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions this week.
  • Marquise Brown has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.

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